Other European Leagues · resolved market
NEC vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x573722ab11dd4bdba1420378b58921062a3bf18fecd5f9a6c2729a8985fea077
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 78c | 5,475$4,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…9f0cbacked Under | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 26c | 1,151$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.35 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 28c | 977.25$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.59 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 973.93$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.2 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 29c | 862$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +11.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 661.74$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.14 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 72c | 625$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 24c | 355$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 27c | 352.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.85 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 29c | 344.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +11.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 18c | 279.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over | 33c | 241.3$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 73c | 137.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 24c | 117.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 39c | 102.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…f9b8backed Over | 35c | 68.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 63c | 68.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7172…4cf3backed Under | 75c | 66.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…8f40backed Under | 75c | 61.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 43c | 59.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 40c | 50.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 41.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…becbbacked Under | 75c | 36.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEC vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5this page
- NEC vs. PEC Zwolle: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEC vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEC vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5Over won
- NEC vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.