Other European Leagues · resolved market
NEC vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc24770bb996ba1b7c37cdb3cca0ed653eabe3c68b12264e4aeab5fd1c78e2727
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 74c | 6,097$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.38 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 4,815$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.05 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 70c | 1,715$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.64 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 20c | 1,268$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.78 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 31c | 1,186$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.68 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 14c | 1,160$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 65c | 625.07$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.77 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 28c | 447.12$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.58 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 75c | 425.83$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.83 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 29c | 381.07$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.51 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 32c | 348$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 70c | 343.63$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 70c | 185$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +11.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 173$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…7e1ebacked Over | 78c | 171.86$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over | 74c | 155.12$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 70c | 142.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 70c | 100.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 32c | 96.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 31c | 88.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…8cffbacked Over | 66c | 76.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 23c | 74.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf67…6c84backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 69c | 24.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 66c | 21.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 73c | 17.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEC vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5this page
- NEC vs. PEC Zwolle: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEC vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEC vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5Under won
- NEC vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.