Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fortuna Sittard vs. PSV: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa85eeee46ebf21466bca2c5354c6c1ecf8a2b6331245cf8778d814f36f0a87e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,756
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,756 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 1,331$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.95 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…9f0cbacked Under | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.05 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 24c | 1,296$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.05 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 11c | 1,054$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.02 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 26c | 554.2$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Under | 74c | 445.93$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Under | 56c | 325.59$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.8 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 25c | 199.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 53c | 188.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…c421backed Under | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 154.34$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…b50bbacked Under | 76c | 147.04$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 83.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 22c | 53.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…8afcbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fortuna Sittard vs. PSV: O/U 4.5this page
- Fortuna Sittard vs. PSV: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. PSV: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. PSV: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.