Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x597a40ee5bf32c01050838c21c07270d750c4730a7839f4a9721ab971fce531a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 8,981$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,917.91 | 2,575 | 45.6%1,174 W · 1,401 L | +12.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 21c | 5,241$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,147.69 | 994 | 44.7%444 W · 550 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 79c | 5,045$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Under | 78c | 3,900$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,042 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 1c | 1,934$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 412 | 40.8%168 W · 244 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 18c | 1,655$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.85 | 2,013 | 39.4%794 W · 1,219 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Under | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…9f0cbacked Under | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 21c | 1,043$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 73c | 904.73$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed Under | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 25c | 672$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…896ebacked Under | 80c | 625$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee2…8a14backed Under | 78c | 610.64$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 20c | 400$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Under | 67c | 314$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.19 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9f…2ad1backed Under | 79c | 282.95$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 47c | 196.62$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 174$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 76c | 156.85$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.2 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 149.49$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 39c | 124.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 22c | 117$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 24c | 103.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Over | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Under | 46c | 46.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 78c | 42.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 90 | 78.9%71 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18a…e7fcbacked Under | 79c | 42.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 34c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 36.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Under | 77c | 25.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…3918backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 78c | 16.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…a6edbacked Under | 78c | 16.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.