Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23234c9b58940cfc2ac76470f4b05836c504638350e58de9ceacea8d9a9f8202
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 40c | 2,828$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.92 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Under | 60c | 2,757$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 2,651$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.06 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 42c | 2,448$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.99 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Under | 59c | 2,023$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.65 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Under | 35c | 2,000$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 40c | 1,838$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.66 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.99 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 60c | 1,254$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.23 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 60c | 1,116$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.87 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 42c | 793$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.94 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 41c | 739.98$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.69 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 44c | 684.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.27 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 14c | 632.1$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Over | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 40c | 519.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.69 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Under | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 462.37$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.28 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 58c | 449.99$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.99 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 25c | 341.16$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.19 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Under | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 9c | 256$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 149 | 36.2%54 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 59c | 251$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.09 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd550…9228backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 58c | 205.92$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.37 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 58c | 205.12$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.97 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 40c | 199.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.98 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Under | 58c | 174.14$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 42c | 174$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Under | 60c | 167.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 41c | 143.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.64 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 56c | 143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 75c | 133.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 23c | 126.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed Under | 62c | 97.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 58c | 84.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 76c | 82.68$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…748cbacked Under | 60c | 67.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…b622backed Under | 46c | 65.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x416a…00a1backed Under | 59c | 61.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Over | 40c | 56.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…2c0abacked Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 58c | 46.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Under | 58c | 42.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Over | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Under | 47c | 34.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…0139backed Under | 59c | 33.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 41c | 32.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Under | 46c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 40c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…4216backed Over | 42c | 26.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9c…6b57backed Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Under | 60c | 25.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Under | 60c | 24.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Under | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.