Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47d4bcb7e3a64679213f1a5ee2fa14884d6fa6610382fcb4d75d95d7c073f195
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed Under | 36c | 12,251$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 64c | 7,500$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 63c | 3,788$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.6 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 3,343$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.97 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Under | 23c | 3,010$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.97 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Over | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 60c | 1,231$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.2 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Over | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 925.6$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.66 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 64c | 749.77$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.92 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…05a0backed Under | 36c | 678.44$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0867…f953backed Over | 66c | 534.85$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 532.05$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.88 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 35c | 459.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.78 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 36c | 333.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…8a1dbacked Over | 67c | 249.25$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 7c | 221$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 37c | 219.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.39 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 33c | 199.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Under | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…c800backed Over | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Under | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Over | 65c | 91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 63c | 73.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Under | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…4ec0backed Over | 65c | 52.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 70c | 51.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…2c0abacked Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 42c | 46.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…6438backed Over | 63c | 46.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 36c | 41.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 35c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 80c | 36.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…8ce0backed Over | 58c | 34.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 35c | 30.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Over | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Over | 65c | 21.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…41f2backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.