Other European Leagues · resolved market
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b5b536ab2bab82009e9944b34afa87e556c2d6fb36629af0da49bb4bf09ff14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 2,419$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.19 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.02 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.99 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee4…9f0cbacked Under | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 64c | 769.2$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.74 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +11.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Under | 4c | 428.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 74c | 400$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.09 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 38c | 391.61$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.84 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 28c | 350.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.99 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 27c | 323.77$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.91 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Over | 16c | 310.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 73c | 204.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 19c | 156.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.57 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 72c | 155.56$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 71c | 140.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 52c | 116.32$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 112.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 50c | 96.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over | 22c | 75.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 69c | 73.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Over | 28c | 45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 49c | 40.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 31c | 38.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 71c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 80c | 27.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…26afbacked Under | 65c | 23.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…8afcbacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 66c | 16.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 4.5this page
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Sparta Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Over won
- Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Sparta Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.