NHL · resolved market
KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Admiral Vladivostok
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x984500d76c835c5dcf05ae67c23a624bec27eb44f5cb6f89caa9f17e59331e00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgof Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg, Admiral Vladivostok
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Admiral Vladivostok | 30c | 297.61$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 70c | 214.43$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Admiral Vladivostok | 32c | 170$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Admiral Vladivostok | 33c | 126$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Admiral Vladivostok | 32c | 92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Admiral Vladivostok | 34c | 71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Admiral Vladivostok | 32c | 69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…33bfbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 69c | 58.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 68c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 66c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 68c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.9wins | +0.37per pick | 51cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.