Premier League · resolved market
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa11dc5e61c712ab41a18b66c0157fbe356f6a96aef14292a7833876a47f6b676
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 4,498$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.6 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 1,394$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,310$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 26c | 1,242$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.65 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…4015backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 20c | 1,049$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.76 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 903.94$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.87 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 29c | 690.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.3 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6f…b31bbacked Yes | 9c | 555.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 26c | 490.41$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.63 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 28c | 451.81$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.51 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 15c | 362.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 80c | 213.76$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Yes | 21c | 165$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Yes | 21c | 106$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 79c | 89.85$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 20c | 84.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 21c | 84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Yes | 24c | 69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89c…d58cbacked Yes | 23c | 64.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…f4ebbacked Yes | 26c | 57.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 53.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed No | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked No | 80c | 46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked No | 76c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 76c | 42.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed No | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked No | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed No | 80c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed No | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6191…e505backed No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-12-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.