Premier League · resolved market
Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f1c347448c5ffa8346a5081d77c8c31e24e722d76022ada2d487a7ad69e2e40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 54c | 22,077$11,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,921.7 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 5,084$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.59 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 2,277$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.96 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 1,613$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.58 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 53c | 943.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.96 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 48c | 751.73$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.83 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 48c | 679.08$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.09 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 45c | 582$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.83 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 49c | 515.6$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.06 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked No | 16c | 449.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 49c | 404.8$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.35 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.21 | 364 | 62.9%229 W · 135 L | +32.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 52c | 240$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.47 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 51c | 219$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.61 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 53c | 198$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…f863backed Yes | 52c | 194.02$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 49c | 130.7$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked No | 17c | 124.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 47c | 111.31$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 52c | 103.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked No | 47c | 102$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…e5aabacked No | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 51c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 52c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes | 48c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 49c | 50.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 49c | 49.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6974backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed No | 64c | 38.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed No | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 51c | 36.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed No | 53c | 33.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed Yes | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0251…e693backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdb…4851backed Yes | 48c | 31.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed No | 48c | 29.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3580…a621backed Yes | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 48c | 28.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Yes | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked No | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3725…1b92backed Yes | 72c | 27.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c60…d06cbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Yes | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Yes | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5b…b617backed Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will Stoke City FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2025-12-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.