Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Wyoming Cowboys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e784d7204b5b6aee65c892a8f6e30fc83c552ba8674e1af3ced8e1bbf561c85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wyoming Cowboysof UNLV Runnin' Rebels, Wyoming Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 4c | 2,302$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.11 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 35c | 2,121$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.11 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wyoming Cowboys | 64c | 1,606$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.16 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 65c | 1,449$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.97 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 4c | 1,210$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 34c | 990$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.6 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 28c | 692.76$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.12 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 34c | 572.7$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.17 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 10c | 449$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wyoming Cowboys | 66c | 360.88$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.05 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 34c | 333.16$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.27 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 7c | 314.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 12c | 265.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 39c | 231.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.82 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 14c | 204$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Wyoming Cowboys | 64c | 190.63$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Wyoming Cowboys | 66c | 171$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 18c | 162$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Wyoming Cowboys | 66c | 125$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 15c | 121.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Wyoming Cowboys | 67c | 116$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 62c | 113$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 36c | 102$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2b…b1debacked Wyoming Cowboys | 65c | 94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 34c | 86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 63c | 82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Wyoming Cowboys | 62c | 63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39b…5754backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 34c | 62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Wyoming Cowboys | 62c | 53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 62c | 52.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Wyoming Cowboys | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 34c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641e…abd4backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 36c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Wyoming Cowboys | 62c | 46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…6974backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 38c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 34c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…9c8fbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wyoming Cowboys | 67c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Wyoming Cowboysthis page
- Spread: Wyoming Cowboys (-3.5)Wyoming Cowboys won
- Spread: Wyoming Cowboys (-4.5)Wyoming Cowboys won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 154.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.