Euroleague · resolved market
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Panathinaikos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d6cac9ddaa6cf60a3ffab030cf9cd9c895f3b8aed6a516f16ca838aa83d8057
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panathinaikosof ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne, Panathinaikos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panathinaikos | 79c | 2,916$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.79 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 10c | 1,489$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.01 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 7c | 1,397$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 26c | 915.76$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.21 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 16c | 857.06$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 9c | 825$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Panathinaikos | 74c | 764$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.61 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Panathinaikos | 74c | 685.11$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.59 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 30c | 638.07$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bb17backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 26c | 619.14$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 15c | 503.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 30c | 422$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.12 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 29c | 372$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 25c | 357.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 7c | 318.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 11cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Panathinaikos | 74c | 293.2$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 27c | 146.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 28c | 127$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 29c | 121.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a04…5830backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 17c | 120.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Panathinaikos | 73c | 111.87$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Panathinaikos | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Panathinaikos | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 11c | 96.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Panathinaikos | 75c | 82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 24c | 80.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Panathinaikos | 67c | 68.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 26c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 28c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 29c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Panathinaikos | 72c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked Panathinaikos | 61c | 45.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Panathinaikos | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Panathinaikos | 74c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Panathinaikos | 72c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Panathinaikos | 72c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 76cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Panathinaikos | 72c | 33.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Panathinaikos | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Panathinaikos | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Panathinaikos | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Panathinaikos | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Panathinaikos | 75c | 26.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Panathinaikos | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbccf…3b6dbacked Panathinaikos | 71c | 22.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Panathinaikos | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…f2cabacked Panathinaikos | 71c | 18.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.