Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Central Michigan Chippewas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7968b063337bf9d61e259864ef405525d6a3894f1a925379abfc19f639237049
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Central Michigan Chippewasof Eastern Michigan Eagles, Central Michigan Chippewas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 60c | 14,416$8,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,674.44 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17fd…976fbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 61c | 13,000$7,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,930 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 40c | 7,622$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,573.2 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe588…7658backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 61c | 3,700$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 40c | 1,875$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 61c | 906.91$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.66 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 38c | 857.55$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.68 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 39c | 854.82$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.44 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 62c | 806.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 97 | 71.1%69 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 61c | 655$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.55 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 62c | 640.76$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 61c | 592.63$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.5 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 33c | 557.27$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.16 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 39c | 551.74$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.56 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 40c | 530$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.49 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 37c | 471.51$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.36 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 437$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.85 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 55c | 434.48$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.96 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 39c | 358.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.97 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 38c | 345.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.35 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 37c | 314.04$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.85 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 45c | 262$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.17 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 62c | 260.94$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 36c | 228.62$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.9 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 44c | 167$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 37c | 164.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.23 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 40c | 162$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 40c | 138.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 38c | 129$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 38c | 94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 48c | 81.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 52c | 79.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 40c | 79.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 37c | 76.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 65c | 69.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 38c | 66.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 53c | 55.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 39c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 39c | 47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 37c | 35.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 40c | 34.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 67c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…5d96backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Central Michigan Chippewas | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…347bbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 70c | 28.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 62c | 27.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 62c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 38c | 26.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e7…e762backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 57c | 23.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Central Michigan Chippewas | 57c | 20.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 62c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles | 59c | 18.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 62c | 18.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed Eastern Michigan Eagles | 61c | 17.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Central Michigan Chippewasthis page
- Eastern Michigan Eagles vs. Central Michigan Chippewas: O/U 138.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.