Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Albany Great Danes vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8837d15e25d846b4db353787c2a15c0f587030be3a9d867ec8d3e5bdb7450e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 49c | 195$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 47c | 169$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 130.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 51c | 82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Under | 50c | 80.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…220cbacked Under | 49c | 76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 49c | 71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 49c | 59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Over | 51c | 47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Over | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Over | 53c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Over | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Over | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Albany Great Danes vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 147.5this page
- Albany Great Danes vs. South Carolina GamecocksSouth Carolina Gamecocks won
- Albany Great Danes vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 146.5Over won
- Albany Great Danes vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 148.5Over won
- Spread: South Carolina Gamecocks (-18.5)South Carolina Gamecocks won
- Spread: South Carolina Gamecocks (-19.5)South Carolina Gamecocks won
- Spread: South Carolina Gamecocks (-20.5)South Carolina Gamecocks won
- Spread: South Carolina Gamecocks (-21.5)South Carolina Gamecocks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.