Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: South Carolina Gamecocks (-21.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55685a0e703c9fc1c3808edc5919c09f30eeaba2bf195c70bb2cac1eaf161ea7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Carolina Gamecocksof South Carolina Gamecocks, Albany Great Danes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Albany Great Danes | 55c | 154$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Albany Great Danes | 55c | 141$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Albany Great Danes | 55c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Albany Great Danes | 55c | 61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Albany Great Danes | 55c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a6…7ed2backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 45c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Albany Great Danes | 55c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 45c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Albany Great Danes | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked South Carolina Gamecocks | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 45c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 45c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed South Carolina Gamecocks | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Albany Great Danes | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: South Carolina Gamecocks (-21.5)this page
- Albany Great Danes vs. South Carolina GamecocksSouth Carolina Gamecocks won
- Albany Great Danes vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 146.5Over won
- Albany Great Danes vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 147.5Over won
- Albany Great Danes vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 148.5Over won
- Spread: South Carolina Gamecocks (-18.5)South Carolina Gamecocks won
- Spread: South Carolina Gamecocks (-19.5)South Carolina Gamecocks won
- Spread: South Carolina Gamecocks (-20.5)South Carolina Gamecocks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.