Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b08d0ca8f31eb8bb46e8d8339f904430967302477a68af4392713a643b3416c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 20c | 2,607$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.42 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 4c | 2,384$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 23c | 799.89$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.51 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 77c | 639.9$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.56 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 79c | 578.68$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.88 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 12c | 461.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.76 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 80c | 173.22$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked No | 24c | 115$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…8528backed No | 24c | 89.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed No | 20c | 89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed No | 23c | 86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…2337backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked No | 23c | 64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed No | 25c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Yes | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Yes | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Yes | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9393…bedfbacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Yes | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…afbabacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Yes | 76c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Yes | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…299cbacked Yes | 80c | 21.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 67cpaid | -75%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f86…6a6cbacked Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Yes | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Yes | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Yes | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Yes | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Yes | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Yes | 76c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.