Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Carabelli vs Comesana
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80b4c478a23af54f0f63d54bd1d3ff6cb3f75d540af3dce9d3629af825d020ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carabelliof Carabelli, Comesana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Comesana | 46c | 303$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Comesana | 46c | 118$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Carabelli | 54c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…848dbacked Carabelli | 54c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Carabelli | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Comesana | 46c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…85bbbacked Comesana | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Carabelli | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…6693backed Carabelli | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…7d0bbacked Comesana | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…934cbacked Carabelli | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Carabelli | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 66cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab2…a34fbacked Carabelli | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…6c98backed Comesana | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Carabelli | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Carabelli | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e6…ac47backed Carabelli | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Carabelli | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Carabelli | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Carabelli | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed Carabelli | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Carabelli vs Comesanathis page
- Argentina Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Francisco ComesanaCarabelli won
- Carabelli vs. Comesana: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Carabelli vs. Comesana: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Carabelli vs. Comesana: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Set Handicap: Comesana (-1.5) vs Carabelli (+1.5)Carabelli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.