TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Argentina Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Francisco Comesana

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Carabelliof Carabelli, Comesana
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,754
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,055

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,754 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Carabelli79c4,926$3,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,032.98,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Comesana44c4,582$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,017.271,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Comesana34c4,555$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.8680938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Comesana25c4,356$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.3624438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Comesana24c4,027$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.1311943.7%52 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Carabelli56c3,542$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,558.5411560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Carabelli56c3,418$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.4455646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2020…7e22backed Comesana39c3,375$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3154055%22 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Comesana18c2,519$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.512,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Carabelli56c1,964$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.2923429.9%70 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Carabelli77c1,873$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.111,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Carabelli56c1,828$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.6419846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Comesana45c1,813$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.4725428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Comesana45c1,500$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67023945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Comesana46c1,307$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb62f…6836backed Comesana22c1,270$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.28530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a51…d812backed Carabelli56c1,022$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.131258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Carabelli78c994.31$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9563247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Carabelli53c946.41$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.4139431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Carabelli67c943.1$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.392,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x430b…6e64backed Comesana46c821$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37920447.5%97 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Comesana43c807.19$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.7228338.9%110 W · 173 L+0.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Carabelli56c778.97$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.4837339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Comesana43c599.57$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.426131.4%82 W · 179 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c30…b30dbacked Carabelli56c595.25$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Comesana44c547.39$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.2811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed Comesana21c541.49$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.413338.3%51 W · 82 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Carabelli57c525.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7646553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Carabelli56c524.66$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.8538739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Carabelli51c458.14$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.6231753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Carabelli61c456.19$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.6537444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Comesana46c399.99$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18434842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Carabelli56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.141,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Comesana45c352.72$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16076140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Carabelli57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.881,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Carabelli57c349.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6617955.9%100 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…e88ebacked Carabelli58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.832564%16 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Comesana49c306$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9410440.4%42 W · 62 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Comesana47c304$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8842141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Carabelli59c301.73$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.7893055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Comesana39c296.25$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3749143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Comesana42c283.59$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.117,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Carabelli58c269.16$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0517056.5%96 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eb2…8083backed Carabelli58c259.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.481050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Carabelli80c255.41$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0812951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Comesana48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe792…80bcbacked Carabelli61c233.9$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.676549.2%32 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Carabelli57c224.79$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.661,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Carabelli73c200$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Carabelli50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10016133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Carabelli53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9416044.4%71 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Comesana43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8646649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Comesana26c196.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.381,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Carabelli55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.824346.5%20 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Comesana50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x372d…a119backed Carabelli58c171.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.11540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8177…be85backed Comesana46c145.59$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.58933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-47.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Carabelli56c145.45$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642650%13 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Comesana17c142.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0933326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Comesana42c138.15$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.023834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Carabelli55c130$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.521346.5%99 W · 114 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32a…dea9backed Carabelli56c125$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5511454.4%62 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Carabelli57c114.04$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0413146.6%61 W · 70 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Comesana45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018932.3%61 W · 128 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Comesana45c109.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4624448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e5f…6cecbacked Carabelli57c105.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2627749.8%138 W · 139 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…6d6bbacked Comesana43c102.37$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.025749.1%28 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Carabelli78c101.06$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.562,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf60d…761abacked Comesana44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Comesana10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Carabelli55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4514858.8%87 W · 61 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Carabelli51c99.52$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.791,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Comesana22c95.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0516132.3%52 W · 109 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Carabelli53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3454450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Comesana45c94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.32948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Carabelli54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5930750.5%155 W · 152 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Carabelli55c91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9525237.3%94 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Carabelli56c89.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.335944.8%161 W · 198 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Carabelli56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.298065%52 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Carabelli54c85.96$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.549643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Comesana48c81.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.532,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Comesana32c81.44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.913,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Carabelli56c81.01$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0118447.3%87 W · 97 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x558c…ca77backed Carabelli62c80.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.733063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Carabelli76c79.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.016,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Comesana27c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1527546.5%128 W · 147 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Comesana38c72.23$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1661953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Carabelli56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.431,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Comesana47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Carabelli77c62.78$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7192548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Comesana45c57$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.653345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Comesana18c55.45$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.221565.8%9 W · 147 L-32.4wins-0.21per pick27cpaid-64.6%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Carabelli57c55.09$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.899857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Comesana29c52.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.377,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Comesana48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2470729.1%206 W · 501 L+0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Carabelli58c45.67$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0818644.6%83 W · 103 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b5…7276backed Comesana44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027147.2%128 W · 143 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Comesana45c44.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Comesana45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2074961.8%463 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d3…a973backed Carabelli56c42.36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.671855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.