Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dynasty vs Once Upon A Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x130dff2afd7d8e76400067da6660873d3f84c7a47456542ac6955c24cf2e1615
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dynastyof Dynasty, Once Upon A Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Dynasty | 34c | 370$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Once Upon A Team | 66c | 200$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Dynasty | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…b254backed Dynasty | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Once Upon A Team | 66c | 170$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.3 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Dynasty | 40c | 168$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Dynasty | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Dynasty | 35c | 58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Dynasty | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Dynasty | 40c | 42.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Once Upon A Team | 65c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Once Upon A Team | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Once Upon A Team | 60c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Once Upon A Team | 65c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Once Upon A Team | 65c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed Once Upon A Team | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Dynasty | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Once Upon A Team | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Once Upon A Team | 60c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Once Upon A Team | 60c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Dynasty | 47c | 25.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Once Upon A Team | 53c | 25.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Once Upon A Team | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -46%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Once Upon A Team | 60c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Once Upon A Team | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Once Upon A Team | 68c | 16.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dynasty vs Once Upon A Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Dynasty vs Once Upon A Team (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 2 GroupDynasty won
- LoL: Dynasty vs Once Upon A Team - Game 2 WinnerDynasty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.