Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Missouri State Bears vs. Kennesaw State Owls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89852aec0e5477b32aeb3e431a3b00753db62d7e773efd73ffbfda84639e0a0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kennesaw State Owlsof Missouri State Bears, Kennesaw State Owls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,918
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Missouri State Bears | 18c | 3,087$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.71 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kennesaw State Owls | 79c | 1,914$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.68 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kennesaw State Owls | 72c | 1,845$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.28 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Missouri State Bears | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Missouri State Bears | 28c | 1,129$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.92 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Kennesaw State Owls | 77c | 851.4$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.48 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Missouri State Bears | 26c | 841.03$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.33 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Kennesaw State Owls | 72c | 590.11$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.23 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Missouri State Bears | 28c | 470$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kennesaw State Owls | 78c | 394.83$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Missouri State Bears | 28c | 290$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kennesaw State Owls | 70c | 235$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.57 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Missouri State Bears | 23c | 211.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Kennesaw State Owls | 73c | 175$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Kennesaw State Owls | 68c | 171$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kennesaw State Owls | 75c | 149$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Missouri State Bears | 20c | 138.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…600dbacked Missouri State Bears | 24c | 137.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Missouri State Bears | 23c | 121.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Kennesaw State Owls | 74c | 119.09$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…84f1backed Missouri State Bears | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Missouri State Bears | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Missouri State Bears | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Missouri State Bears | 22c | 91.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kennesaw State Owls | 78c | 91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…f4f7backed Missouri State Bears | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Kennesaw State Owls | 67c | 73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Missouri State Bears | 29c | 49.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Missouri State Bears | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kennesaw State Owls | 77c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Missouri State Bears | 32c | 44.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Missouri State Bears | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b04…7a54backed Missouri State Bears | 30c | 41.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Missouri State Bears | 33c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Missouri State Bears | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kennesaw State Owls | 79c | 35.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…05afbacked Missouri State Bears | 33c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kennesaw State Owls | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Kennesaw State Owls | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Kennesaw State Owls | 78c | 27.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked Kennesaw State Owls | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Kennesaw State Owls | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.