CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59b79358707e041813e3fb7d79dd459b6e845ff356399c9df1400cbdaca16bc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 36c | 4,495$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876.65 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 2,739$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.21 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 2,510$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.82 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0e…1f6cbacked Over | 40c | 2,505$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.88 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88da…d50cbacked Under | 1c | 1,702$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 70c | 943.06$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.18 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 19c | 482.4$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.74 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 2c | 482.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed Under | 64c | 481.25$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Under | 76c | 406.21$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…5f54backed Over | 27c | 379.8$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.75 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Under | 64c | 315$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Under | 61c | 255$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…c5ebbacked Under | 66c | 250.37$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…6660backed Under | 8c | 246.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804e…d85fbacked Under | 56c | 215$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 40c | 204.61$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.92 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 41c | 186.83$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 74c | 170$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 61c | 121$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 55c | 105.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 295 | 58.6%173 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Under | 61c | 99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c528backed Under | 59c | 96.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 58c | 92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x921a…1bb0backed Under | 74c | 90.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed Under | 64c | 90$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Under | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e94…85e6backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d74…bb57backed Under | 19c | 73.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Under | 64c | 41.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Over | 39c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed Over | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports won
- Series FURIA Rounds Handicap (-7.5) vs FUT Esports (+7.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.