CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x413ab7a45bd5b7cc142e7214569751d066d152b070e741f818c10e507a1a2095
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FURIA, FUT Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed FUT Esports | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.98 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed FURIA | 55c | 8,328$4,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,583.12 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed FURIA | 55c | 520$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…7011backed FURIA | 79c | 472.13$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed FUT Esports | 45c | 443$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.65 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FUT Esports | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked FURIA | 62c | 364.26$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.9 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked FURIA | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked FURIA | 55c | 210$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed FURIA | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed FURIA | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FUT Esports | 44c | 174.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed FURIA | 55c | 119.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed FURIA | 24c | 86.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked FURIA | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked FUT Esports | 26c | 50.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed FURIA | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…ab9bbacked FUT Esports | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FUT Esports | 22c | 46.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked FUT Esports | 49c | 41.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked FURIA | 56c | 35.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed FURIA | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed FURIA | 48c | 21.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…8340backed FURIA | 55c | 20.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked FURIA | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed FURIA | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed FURIA | 74c | 13.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Series FURIA Rounds Handicap (-7.5) vs FUT Esports (+7.5)FUT Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.