La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Racing Club vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaa9c0f1d5f1406afc74983afd34083b3b1c0f74645f9c884d312d6ea5e169b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Yes | 23c | 164$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 116.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Yes | 22c | 112$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Yes | 22c | 84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 75.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Yes | 22c | 59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 23c | 57.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 163 | 41.1%67 W · 96 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 57.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed No | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed No | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed No | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed No | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked No | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…d32ebacked No | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed No | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed No | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed No | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked No | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed No | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed No | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…50aabacked No | 79c | 16.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a00…0014backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 77c | 15.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 78c | 15.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 79c | 13.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed No | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Racing Club vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-02-09?No won
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-02-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.