Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd872d43dea1bfb665ec0fa5b02e810ec65653b745c87f5b7ec31843e27e5e8b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa State Cyclonesof Iowa State Cyclones, Baylor Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Iowa State Cyclones | 65c | 9,266$6,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,205.99 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Baylor Bears | 11c | 7,215$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.86 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Baylor Bears | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Baylor Bears | 35c | 4,531$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.43 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baylor Bears | 40c | 4,391$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.79 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Baylor Bears | 35c | 4,300$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Iowa State Cyclones | 64c | 4,071$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.95 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Baylor Bears | 35c | 3,478$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.15 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Iowa State Cyclones | 74c | 3,470$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.28 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 64c | 2,511$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.63 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Baylor Bears | 3c | 2,337$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Iowa State Cyclones | 64c | 1,704$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.32 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Iowa State Cyclones | 67c | 1,153$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.5 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Iowa State Cyclones | 78c | 936.8$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.43 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Baylor Bears | 34c | 826.29$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…53b3backed Iowa State Cyclones | 66c | 769.7$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Iowa State Cyclones | 73c | 742.64$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.89 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Iowa State Cyclones | 65c | 673.85$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Iowa State Cyclones | 55c | 607$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.99 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…e5eebacked Baylor Bears | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Baylor Bears | 37c | 505$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.77 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Baylor Bears | 35c | 347.7$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.73 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…a330backed Iowa State Cyclones | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Baylor Bears | 34c | 208.18$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Baylor Bears | 46c | 207.18$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Iowa State Cyclones | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Baylor Bears | 37c | 192.37$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 78c | 182.87$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Iowa State Cyclones | 77c | 175.87$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Iowa State Cyclones | 66c | 168.13$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Iowa State Cyclones | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Baylor Bears | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 78c | 143.06$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Baylor Bears | 10c | 115$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 65c | 101.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…84f1backed Baylor Bears | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Baylor Bears | 34c | 88.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 65c | 87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Baylor Bears | 35c | 86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baylor Bears | 34c | 85.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Iowa State Cyclones | 62c | 78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Baylor Bears | 34c | 78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Iowa State Cyclones | 62c | 72.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…3059backed Baylor Bears | 36c | 54.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 65c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7db4…9e0abacked Baylor Bears | 31c | 47.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Baylor Bears | 35c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Baylor Bears | 35c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Baylor Bears | 33c | 40.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 38.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Iowa State Cyclones | 50c | 32.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Baylor Bears | 35c | 32.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Iowa State Cyclones | 47c | 31.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b0…6222backed Iowa State Cyclones | 66c | 29.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Baylor Bears | 37c | 27.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Iowa State Cyclones | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Baylor Bears | 46c | 21.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Iowa State Cyclones | 75c | 19.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bearsthis page
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 154.5Under won
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 155.5Under won
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 156.5Under won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.