Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 155.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x158932142ed2187b00130dc95499a52e0dccd6ac444c1cd90734700ce74b0e8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 52c | 5,144$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.91 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 50c | 4,074$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 645.22$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Over | 51c | 400.2$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa28f…d25ebacked Over | 50c | 379.43$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Under | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…70c4backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Over | 50c | 100.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b0…adf5backed Over | 51c | 56.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Over | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Under | 50c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x291e…4b6abacked Over | 51c | 39.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…61debacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5810…dca5backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Over | 51c | 19.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…6d7dbacked Over | 51c | 19.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 155.5this page
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor BearsIowa State Cyclones won
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 154.5Under won
- Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 156.5Under won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.