NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x851811441013bb31a4ccc1d350afd75acf8ccc96d304fb10d043e149de05cc5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $367,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $367,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 49c | 231,791$113,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,964.82 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 78,654$40,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,309.71 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 33,333$17,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,333.16 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,300 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,599.98 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,599.98 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pistons | 49c | 29,404$14,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,996.08 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 26,140$13,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,129.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 25,000$12,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,750 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Pistons | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,833.33 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 48c | 20,488$9,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,651.64 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 19,144$9,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,572.22 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 76c | 10,684$8,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pistons | 49c | 9,976$4,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,087.76 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 7,851$3,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,925.28 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc9…26fbbacked Pistons | 47c | 7,244$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.48 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 6,400$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Pistons | 48c | 5,610$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.42 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 5,005$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.65 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Pistons | 47c | 4,996$2,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,647.71 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 3,600$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Trail Blazers | 4c | 2,999$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 2,800$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 2,500$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.98 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Pistons | 48c | 2,396$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.92 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Pistons | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a51abacked Trail Blazers | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Pistons | 49c | 1,496$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.16 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Pistons | 48c | 1,438$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.5 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 1,037$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.96 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,004$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.96 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 700$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 653.88$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.13 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons | 48c | 627$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.04 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 599.98$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 569.37$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.11 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 400$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 306$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.91 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 233.64$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 213.21$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pistons | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Pistons | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Pistons | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Pistons | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Trail Blazers | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Pistons | 50c | 193$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 188$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 178$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 166$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…c123backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 149.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Pistons | 47c | 124.69$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.09 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 122$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 119$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons | 47c | 114.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 114$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38db…d245backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…e291backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 109$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Pistons | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Pistons | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pistons | 38c | 100.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…a644backed Pistons | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Pistons | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -7.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5256…24a5backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 92.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…6047backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 82.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 80.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Pistons vs. Trail BlazersPistons won
- Pistons vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.