CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Imperial (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fe20198ec25baaaeec39dcbd16b9555c6b77c64fad029dbebb9ae385e11e657
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof ODDIK, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed Imperial | 77c | 14,446$11,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,363.06 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked ODDIK | 23c | 6,609$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked ODDIK | 23c | 4,348$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed ODDIK | 24c | 2,500$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed ODDIK | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Imperial | 77c | 871.43$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.43 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed ODDIK | 23c | 320$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Imperial | 79c | 248.73$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked ODDIK | 9c | 230$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x728a…a75cbacked ODDIK | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked ODDIK | 20c | 175$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked ODDIK | 21c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…1cf9backed ODDIK | 23c | 113.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed ODDIK | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Imperial | 78c | 78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ODDIK | 25c | 69.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Imperial | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Imperial | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf360…6726backed ODDIK | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Imperial | 78c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Imperial | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Imperial | 80c | 24.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Imperial (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Imperial - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Imperial - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.