Burnley FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ec10236e044a4b603cf1bca7fd6aadbd96c8967fa9bca38ed1dc7d17f7b923b

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 27, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $23,256
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $23,555

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,256 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	68c	16,242$11,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,184.72	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over	23c	12,327$2,855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,854.87	110	29.1%32 W · 78 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Over	35c	2,529$875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$875	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	67c	2,209$1,472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$737.22	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over	66c	2,000$1,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,325	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	65c	818.44$531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.33	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over	66c	400$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	92	54.3%50 W · 42 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over	67c	299.99$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.99	373	42.6%159 W · 214 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over	68c	258.4$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.71	584	45.9%268 W · 316 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over	34c	235.29$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf66e…62d3backed Over	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc40…c795backed Under	59c	169.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.49	52	28.8%15 W · 37 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over	35c	142.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	77	42.9%33 W · 44 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Under	34c	139$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.74	33	66.7%22 W · 11 L	+4.5wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over	66c	137$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.42	46	60.9%28 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under	34c	128$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.48	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed Over	68c	120$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.6	63	55.6%35 W · 28 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb100…dce6backed Under	34c	119$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.54	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb7…99f7backed Over	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	328	22.3%73 W · 255 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over	67c	100$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	277	52%144 W · 133 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x884d…1da6backed Over	60c	100$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	63cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	76	40.8%31 W · 45 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	56c	88.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	286	54.2%155 W · 131 L	-11.3wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Under	34c	87$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.42	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Under	34c	82$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.12	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	66c	75.22$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	208	64.9%135 W · 73 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under	34c	75$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.5	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e75…e81dbacked Under	34c	73$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.18	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d2…1facbacked Over	67c	61.16$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.98	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over	67c	60$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.2	330	57%188 W · 142 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	60	56.7%34 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67de…1d9bbacked Over	66c	53$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.98	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Over	66c	49$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.34	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-3.7wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb385…c1a4backed Over	66c	48$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.68	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.17per pick	60cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	54c	45.6$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.44	365	45.2%165 W · 200 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Over	66c	41$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.06	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	143	51%73 W · 70 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ee…5d12backed Over	66c	40$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	34c	38.32$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.29	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Under	67c	36.35$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.82	112	55.4%62 W · 50 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Under	34c	36$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.76	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe8b…8390backed Over	55c	35.09$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.3	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Over	42c	34.68$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.62	161	36.6%59 W · 102 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc081…224dbacked Over	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over	34c	32.03$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.89	126	47.6%60 W · 66 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf71c…488bbacked Over	66c	32$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.12	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73a3…dac6backed Over	66c	32$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.12	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	62cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38dc…4c5fbacked Over	66c	32$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.12	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Under	32c	31.25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.25	360	36.1%130 W · 230 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under	71c	30.08$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.78	426	58%247 W · 179 L	+24.6wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84c6…f8afbacked Over	66c	28$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.48	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc856…0aa5backed Over	66c	28$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.48	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc07…e9f2backed Over	66c	26$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.16	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x711d…fe4bbacked Over	66c	25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed8…8de5backed Under	68c	24.57$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.86	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+7.0wins	+0.16per pick	43cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6966…409bbacked Over	66c	24$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.84	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa029…c912backed Over	66c	24$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.84	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Over	68c	22.19$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-7.5wins	-0.16per pick	57cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5935…b8dabacked Over	66c	22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.52	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-3.9wins	-0.28per pick	64cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc34b…2f86backed Over	66c	22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.52	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeaa…80cdbacked Over	66c	22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.52	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.15per pick	61cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31ed…09dabacked Over	68c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e8…441fbacked Over	66c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over	60c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	126	47.6%60 W · 66 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+20%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over	67c	19.25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	170	53.5%91 W · 79 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf6…9bd5backed Over	66c	18$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda85…0ab3backed Over	62c	16.61$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Under	68c	16$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.2	139	41%57 W · 82 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bd1…0100backed Over	66c	16$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+2.8wins	+0.20per pick	59cpaid	+32%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x19fe…dbd8backed Over	66c	16$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-3.3wins	-0.33per pick	63cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Burnley FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5this page
Burnley FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Burnley FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Burnley FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Burnley FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Burnley FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Burnley FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event