NHL · resolved market
KHL: Torpedo vs. CSKA Moscow
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37e1f7d54d80176b048e0ea1c8bfe3948f49997b7878c2bdcb546edd2fa59427
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSKA Moscowof Torpedo, CSKA Moscow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Torpedo | 49c | 1,000$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.44 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked CSKA Moscow | 50c | 926.93$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.47 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked CSKA Moscow | 51c | 509.8$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.8 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Torpedo | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Torpedo | 50c | 263.08$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.67 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed CSKA Moscow | 51c | 225$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Torpedo | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed CSKA Moscow | 51c | 194.13$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked CSKA Moscow | 51c | 158$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked CSKA Moscow | 51c | 128$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed CSKA Moscow | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed CSKA Moscow | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed CSKA Moscow | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked CSKA Moscow | 51c | 114$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed CSKA Moscow | 51c | 106$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d7…f142backed Torpedo | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed CSKA Moscow | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed CSKA Moscow | 51c | 93$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…26b0backed CSKA Moscow | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed CSKA Moscow | 51c | 82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed CSKA Moscow | 51c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed CSKA Moscow | 52c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed CSKA Moscow | 51c | 72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed CSKA Moscow | 51c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e5…c3d4backed Torpedo | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Torpedo | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked CSKA Moscow | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed CSKA Moscow | 52c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed CSKA Moscow | 51c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed CSKA Moscow | 51c | 52.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Torpedo | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…9b15backed Torpedo | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed CSKA Moscow | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Torpedo | 49c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…409bbacked Torpedo | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed CSKA Moscow | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed CSKA Moscow | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Torpedo | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Torpedo | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed CSKA Moscow | 51c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Torpedo | 49c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Torpedo | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…bdfcbacked Torpedo | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Torpedo | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Torpedo | 49c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 46cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed CSKA Moscow | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Torpedo | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Torpedo | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Torpedo | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Torpedo | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Torpedo | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Torpedo | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Torpedo | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Torpedo | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked Torpedo | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Torpedo | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Torpedo | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Torpedo | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Torpedo | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Torpedo | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Torpedo | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Torpedo | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Torpedo | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Torpedo | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Torpedo | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Torpedo | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Torpedo | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Torpedo | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked Torpedo | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Torpedo | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Torpedo | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Torpedo | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Torpedo | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed CSKA Moscow | 51c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Torpedo | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Torpedo | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Torpedo | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Torpedo | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.