CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2510fc65a2910c2e0046442092965ff22c1306d57b57e83fbc7329c3a62a02f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof Nemiga, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed ex-RUBY | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.98 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Nemiga | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Nemiga | 57c | 1,135$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.12 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Nemiga | 49c | 1,023$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed ex-RUBY | 20c | 1,009$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.38 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…55aebacked Nemiga | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…e55abacked Nemiga | 7c | 699.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Nemiga | 60c | 602.46$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.08 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed ex-RUBY | 72c | 429.99$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…5ff4backed Nemiga | 29c | 413.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Nemiga | 76c | 412.41$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.8 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…99bbbacked ex-RUBY | 48c | 380$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Nemiga | 56c | 358$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUBY | 44c | 348$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.88 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ex-RUBY | 44c | 336.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Nemiga | 51c | 319.7$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.9 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ex-RUBY | 49c | 305.71$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.52 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Nemiga | 57c | 304.81$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.74 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Nemiga | 57c | 290$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.3 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed ex-RUBY | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Nemiga | 57c | 246$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.22 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed ex-RUBY | 45c | 222.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed ex-RUBY | 38c | 215$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Nemiga | 58c | 210$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed ex-RUBY | 39c | 207.69$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.69 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Nemiga | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Nemiga | 62c | 164.52$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed Nemiga | 57c | 154.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.86 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Nemiga | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Nemiga | 37c | 135.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 128.22$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Nemiga | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed ex-RUBY | 39c | 103$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…54f8backed ex-RUBY | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed ex-RUBY | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4f…bdc8backed Nemiga | 41c | 98.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f15…c0c5backed ex-RUBY | 23c | 87.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ex-RUBY | 35c | 81.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Nemiga | 26c | 81.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Nemiga | 56c | 79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Nemiga | 57c | 77.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…58eabacked Nemiga | 57c | 77.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 70.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…b1afbacked ex-RUBY | 20c | 68.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 26cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…ee5abacked ex-RUBY | 33c | 51.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -9.7wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked ex-RUBY | 24c | 51.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed ex-RUBY | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Nemiga | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…a946backed Nemiga | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 47.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 44.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…4198backed Nemiga | 70c | 35.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e4…0b1fbacked Nemiga | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Nemiga | 39c | 32.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked ex-RUBY | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed ex-RUBY | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5815…ed3ebacked Nemiga | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed ex-RUBY | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Nemiga | 59c | 25.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Nemiga | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Nemiga | 54c | 22.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Nemiga | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b6…e086backed Nemiga | 75c | 14.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23dc…9faabacked ex-RUBY | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 WinnerNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.