Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northern Colorado Bears vs. Portland State Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82137b8283d044bb35c60690752d3a3891c6dbefc5e60e63882ef2ab6c65fec4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Portland State Vikingsof Northern Colorado Bears, Portland State Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Portland State Vikings | 56c | 839.48$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.83 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northern Colorado Bears | 46c | 646.09$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.46 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Portland State Vikings | 57c | 596.63$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.35 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Portland State Vikings | 58c | 457.93$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 28c | 354$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Portland State Vikings | 65c | 341.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.48 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Colorado Bears | 42c | 287.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.77 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Northern Colorado Bears | 14c | 244.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Northern Colorado Bears | 28c | 242.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.17 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 42c | 215.77$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Portland State Vikings | 68c | 169.41$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Portland State Vikings | 61c | 162.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Portland State Vikings | 59c | 161$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Portland State Vikings | 59c | 133$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 53c | 120.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…9ea4backed Northern Colorado Bears | 11c | 120.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Northern Colorado Bears | 40c | 113$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Northern Colorado Bears | 42c | 78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Portland State Vikings | 34c | 69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 41c | 66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Portland State Vikings | 59c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Portland State Vikings | 59c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 39c | 61.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 20c | 58.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 43c | 57.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Northern Colorado Bears | 40c | 56.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Northern Colorado Bears | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Northern Colorado Bears | 45c | 48.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -12.0wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…555abacked Northern Colorado Bears | 25c | 47.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Northern Colorado Bears | 41c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Northern Colorado Bears | 42c | 43.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Portland State Vikings | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Northern Colorado Bears | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Colorado Bears | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Portland State Vikings | 62c | 34.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Northern Colorado Bears | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Northern Colorado Bears | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Northern Colorado Bears | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Northern Colorado Bears | 41c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Portland State Vikings | 78c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Portland State Vikings | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4390…e842backed Northern Colorado Bears | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Northern Colorado Bears | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…e2fdbacked Portland State Vikings | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Northern Colorado Bears vs. Portland State Vikingsthis page
- Northern Colorado Bears vs. Portland State Vikings: O/U 156.5Under won
- Spread: Portland State Vikings (-2.5)Portland State Vikings won
- Spread: Portland State Vikings (-3.5)Northern Colorado Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.