Lol · resolved market
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs The Bandits (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cdd7ec3e729260401232f361e14d2735703cda67a9d2a9c072328d1778f2428
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Frites Esports Clubof Frites Esports Club, The Bandits
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x92d6…0550backed The Bandits | 19c | 9,784$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.15 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed The Bandits | 20c | 1,200$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed The Bandits | 19c | 682.85$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.57 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked The Bandits | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed The Bandits | 20c | 230$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed The Bandits | 20c | 193$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed The Bandits | 20c | 186.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked The Bandits | 18c | 152.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Frites Esports Club | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Frites Esports Club | 80c | 124$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed The Bandits | 18c | 117.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Frites Esports Club | 78c | 116$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Frites Esports Club | 80c | 109$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Frites Esports Club | 80c | 107$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked The Bandits | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed The Bandits | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Frites Esports Club | 80c | 97.95$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed The Bandits | 19c | 84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Frites Esports Club | 80c | 84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Frites Esports Club | 80c | 77$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Frites Esports Club | 80c | 72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Frites Esports Club | 80c | 67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked The Bandits | 20c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked The Bandits | 20c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Frites Esports Club | 80c | 51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Frites Esports Club | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Frites Esports Club | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Frites Esports Club | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Frites Esports Club | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Frites Esports Club | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.