Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Jackky and friends (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb29354e9447d0d3ed92b3e2c90a7d5b24927e311c96b18ec3c9c7953b30d2c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jackky and friendsof Team Nemesis, Jackky and friends
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 7,200$3,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,879.5 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Jackky and friends | 45c | 3,973$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.35 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Team Nemesis | 1c | 3,327$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Jackky and friends | 48c | 2,853$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.42 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed Jackky and friends | 46c | 1,292$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.9 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Jackky and friends | 43c | 1,198$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 1,178$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.54 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Jackky and friends | 47c | 1,160$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Nemesis | 53c | 693.12$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.35 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Team Nemesis | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…6078backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 550$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Jackky and friends | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 466.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 454.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Jackky and friends | 62c | 367.27$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.13 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Team Nemesis | 27c | 353.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61a…a754backed Jackky and friends | 69c | 349.63$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 348.15$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28b9…9719backed Jackky and friends | 60c | 331.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 320.29$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.05 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 309$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.37 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Jackky and friends | 57c | 284.53$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.13 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed Jackky and friends | 46c | 282.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.61 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Jackky and friends | 72c | 278.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Jackky and friends | 76c | 277.37$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Jackky and friends | 46c | 242.62$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 202.08$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.08 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Team Nemesis | 15c | 190.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Nemesis | 30c | 177.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Jackky and friends | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Nemesis | 45c | 112.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…93eabacked Jackky and friends | 59c | 105.18$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Team Nemesis | 18c | 105.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Jackky and friends | 43c | 104.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.82 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Jackky and friends | 68c | 102.06$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Jackky and friends | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Jackky and friends | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…c508backed Team Nemesis | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 99.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Jackky and friends | 70c | 98.79$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 96.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 96.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 90.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…d949backed Team Nemesis | 64c | 77.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Jackky and friends | 51c | 75.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Jackky and friends | 72c | 65.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Team Nemesis | 35c | 62.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Team Nemesis | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed Team Nemesis | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Team Nemesis | 32c | 53.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2538…b975backed Jackky and friends | 46c | 50.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Team Nemesis | 29c | 45.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Team Nemesis | 67c | 45.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…5c9dbacked Jackky and friends | 47c | 44.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x513e…a330backed Jackky and friends | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Jackky and friends | 68c | 41.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e4…b4d2backed Jackky and friends | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…56adbacked Team Nemesis | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a5…c4f1backed Team Nemesis | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49da…0f6abacked Team Nemesis | 35c | 34.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed Jackky and friends | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Jackky and friends | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x892a…8d15backed Jackky and friends | 71c | 29.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Team Nemesis | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Jackky and friends | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.23per pick | 70cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Jackky and friends | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…83ddbacked Team Nemesis | 49c | 27.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…27f4backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 26.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…77babacked Jackky and friends | 45c | 23.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Jackky and friends | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa203…11bcbacked Jackky and friends | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa08a…ad51backed Team Nemesis | 73c | 16.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Jackky and friends (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Jackky and friends - Game 1 WinnerJackky and friends won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Jackky and friends - Game 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.