NHL · resolved market
AHL: Providence Bruins vs. Bridgeport Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc02f15329993efc4baf9c72c17112d88a40176745ff0e81e002dced257d0301a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Providence Bruinsof Providence Bruins, Bridgeport Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Providence Bruins | 61c | 449.42$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.55 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Bridgeport Islanders | 39c | 449$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.11 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Bridgeport Islanders | 40c | 81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Bridgeport Islanders | 40c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Bridgeport Islanders | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Providence Bruins | 69c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Bridgeport Islanders | 40c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Bridgeport Islanders | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Providence Bruins | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Providence Bruins | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Providence Bruins | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Providence Bruins | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Providence Bruins | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Providence Bruins | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Providence Bruins | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.