NHL · resolved market
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. SKA St. Petersburg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cf421908da1ee2a49f3bbbb3f9076aa8a72e8b578ea25fead6e6abed5f92aa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SKA St. Petersburgof Shanghai Dragons, SKA St. Petersburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dd5…9014backed Shanghai Dragons | 23c | 18,131$4,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,219.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19c…206cbacked Shanghai Dragons | 38c | 10,442$3,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,967.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2777…cbffbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 62c | 5,842$3,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed SKA St. Petersburg | 69c | 5,780$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.58 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddf…3ff6backed SKA St. Petersburg | 62c | 5,162$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee9…49aebacked Shanghai Dragons | 38c | 5,162$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc50…65fcbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 62c | 4,600$2,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e41…9206backed SKA St. Petersburg | 79c | 4,281$3,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdeb…2616backed SKA St. Petersburg | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…e01cbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 72c | 3,400$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ed…5c1dbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 79c | 3,242$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Shanghai Dragons | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Shanghai Dragons | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Shanghai Dragons | 28c | 1,400$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed SKA St. Petersburg | 10c | 800$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +759.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Shanghai Dragons | 34c | 774.16$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.22 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked SKA St. Petersburg | 9c | 600$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +445.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde93…bef4backed SKA St. Petersburg | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed SKA St. Petersburg | 8c | 480.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +550.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Shanghai Dragons | 34c | 373.44$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…17adbacked Shanghai Dragons | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Shanghai Dragons | 21c | 137.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Shanghai Dragons | 36c | 115.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed SKA St. Petersburg | 62c | 92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Shanghai Dragons | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed SKA St. Petersburg | 68c | 65.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed SKA St. Petersburg | 64c | 58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed SKA St. Petersburg | 66c | 53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Shanghai Dragons | 36c | 52.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Shanghai Dragons | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed SKA St. Petersburg | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed SKA St. Petersburg | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.