Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International: Aleksandar Vukic vs Andrea Vavassori
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ca5948fddf8c91a15fca500bf73dac9d20148ed72abf14fd84c9329a67d2684
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vukicof Vukic, Vavassori
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Vukic | 64c | 20,930$13,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,534.78 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vavassori | 17c | 16,158$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.16 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Vavassori | 36c | 14,445$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200.33 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Vavassori | 15c | 6,647$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vavassori | 17c | 3,866$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.08 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fda…f190backed Vavassori | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vavassori | 19c | 2,364$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.12 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Vavassori | 36c | 2,192$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Vavassori | 36c | 2,083$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Vavassori | 10c | 1,942$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 365 | 54.2%198 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vavassori | 36c | 1,897$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.7 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vavassori | 19c | 1,420$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.54 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Vukic | 63c | 1,172$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.56 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Vavassori | 40c | 870$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Vavassori | 36c | 813$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.68 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vavassori | 16c | 562.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.47 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Vavassori | 4c | 539$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Vukic | 62c | 527.31$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Vavassori | 40c | 505.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Vavassori | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Vavassori | 33c | 330.75$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Vavassori | 18c | 300$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Vavassori | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Vavassori | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed Vavassori | 36c | 236.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Vukic | 78c | 218.75$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Vavassori | 12c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Vavassori | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Vavassori | 29c | 190.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Vavassori | 18c | 188$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Vavassori | 18c | 185.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Vavassori | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Vukic | 60c | 150.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…c9c4backed Vavassori | 22c | 136.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Vavassori | 13c | 136$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Vavassori | 36c | 131.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Vavassori | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Vavassori | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…252bbacked Vukic | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Vavassori | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…e191backed Vavassori | 16c | 98.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Vavassori | 38c | 92.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Vukic | 61c | 87.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…8fa3backed Vavassori | 19c | 80.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…3652backed Vavassori | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…6743backed Vukic | 64c | 77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Vukic | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Vavassori | 21c | 70.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Vavassori | 30c | 63.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70dd…a4e3backed Vavassori | 17c | 62.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Vavassori | 33c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Vukic | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Vavassori | 18c | 56.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Vukic | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Vavassori | 31c | 45.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Vukic | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Vavassori | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0750…9db6backed Vavassori | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Vavassori | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Vukic | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Vukic | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Vukic | 73c | 16.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide International: Aleksandar Vukic vs Andrea Vavassorithis page
- Set Handicap: Vukic (-1.5) vs Vavassori (+1.5)Vukic won
- Vukic vs. Vavassori: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Vukic vs. Vavassori: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.