Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Brestois 29 vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94f997aec599c6a56fa8c4f8facab78f71f9aa8b516fd31fbfa3ea99f7f0b955
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 45c | 36,555$16,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,379.63 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 57c | 7,325$4,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.04 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 55c | 5,766$3,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,591.72 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 56c | 3,610$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.21 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Under | 55c | 3,429$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 2,365$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.42 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 602.23$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 67c | 499.79$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.14 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 56c | 420$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 56c | 246.46$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 55c | 240$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 55c | 240$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 35c | 190$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 31c | 144.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 55c | 140$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 55c | 130$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 55c | 124.42$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…298cbacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…04d2backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Over | 47c | 86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Over | 47c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Under | 56c | 58.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Under | 54c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Over | 47c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438c…481abacked Under | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…09debacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 76c | 40.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Over | 46c | 35.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Under | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Under | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Under | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 56c | 25.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1540…04e9backed Over | 46c | 24.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Under | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 57c | 17.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.