Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13c5b7bd2eedcc01ffb8730179d32a48540f7e11aad18d656e13303e3ff935e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stade Brestois 29of Stade Brestois 29, AJ Auxerre
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed AJ Auxerre | 74c | 3,246$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.62 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Stade Brestois 29 | 26c | 2,183$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.89 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Stade Brestois 29 | 25c | 1,338$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.5 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed AJ Auxerre | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.7 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed AJ Auxerre | 75c | 223$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.25 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Stade Brestois 29 | 26c | 122$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Stade Brestois 29 | 26c | 58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Stade Brestois 29 | 26c | 57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked AJ Auxerre | 74c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed AJ Auxerre | 74c | 19.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 57 | 78.9%45 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)this page
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.