Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Brestois 29 vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd960bd2e543dffb1d2ebd3cc6174f003684c67ba42c3eb48322fdd49f5210da8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 53c | 830.19$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed No | 47c | 560.49$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.06 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 397.92$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.67 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 364.98$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.89 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked No | 49c | 114$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 47c | 112.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 47c | 100.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed No | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed No | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked No | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed No | 49c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 38c | 53.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…7ca5backed Yes | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed No | 49c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 48cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Yes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Yes | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Yes | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Yes | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Yes | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AJ Auxerre: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5)Stade Brestois 29 won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 1.5Over won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 2.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 3.5Under won
- Stade Brestois 29 vs. AJ Auxerre: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.