TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

California-San Diego Tritons vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsof California-San Diego Tritons, Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$117,701
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,701 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors73c15,869$11,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,240.9290645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked California-San Diego Tritons26c12,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12089645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors75c8,010$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.1116056.9%91 W · 69 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked California-San Diego Tritons27c6,226$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.5512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked California-San Diego Tritons27c5,460$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.216053.8%86 W · 74 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors72c4,314$3,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,190.35,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed California-San Diego Tritons26c3,861$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors74c3,834$2,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.841,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked California-San Diego Tritons24c2,741$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.146023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors72c2,500$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6952,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors74c1,535$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.251,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed California-San Diego Tritons21c1,348$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.633,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed California-San Diego Tritons25c1,321$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.011,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc5…7708backed California-San Diego Tritons26c1,232$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32211028.2%31 W · 79 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed California-San Diego Tritons25c1,128$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.924025%10 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed California-San Diego Tritons23c1,090$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509525.3%24 W · 71 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe33b…12cbbacked California-San Diego Tritons23c860.75$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a4…9e63backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors55c854.99$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.751266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked California-San Diego Tritons29c785.22$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2261,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d1c…f13cbacked California-San Diego Tritons51c781.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed California-San Diego Tritons38c742.1$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.573,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed California-San Diego Tritons27c726$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0284147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8069…30e3backed California-San Diego Tritons29c696.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+62.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed California-San Diego Tritons32c692.82$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.453718.9%7 W · 30 L-9.6wins-0.26per pick45cpaid-60.9%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.9315557.4%89 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c1e…e503backed California-San Diego Tritons28c665.35$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.3966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed California-San Diego Tritons31c652.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012230.3%37 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed California-San Diego Tritons19c619.45$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.182,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed California-San Diego Tritons47c602.7$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed California-San Diego Tritons32c586.82$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1859144%40 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors56c585.59$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.594146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed California-San Diego Tritons51c578.64$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.5144146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed California-San Diego Tritons31c533.46$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.591,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors74c499.7$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2281453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors62c462.19$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7772248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50de…fff1backed California-San Diego Tritons53c461.42$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed California-San Diego Tritons24c460.42$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6819641.8%82 W · 114 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b22…107fbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors53c431.27$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.272556%14 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked California-San Diego Tritons24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0275…d186backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors74c404.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.627100%7 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+73.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors74c385$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.119554.9%107 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a6…f2e3backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors72c372.03$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.17850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4090…3e81backed California-San Diego Tritons30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe43c…ccd5backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors72c293.32$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.131154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked California-San Diego Tritons50c271.54$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.784,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors78c258.52$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0974152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors72c221.8$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2768254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4814151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a18…0808backed California-San Diego Tritons20c198.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6230%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors75c185.53$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1638345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked California-San Diego Tritons24c165.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402040%8 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf5…31f9backed California-San Diego Tritons45c153.33$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.83333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31ad…8b71backed California-San Diego Tritons27c150.85$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418940.4%36 W · 53 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors66c147.96$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.761963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8648462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors71c140.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9910043%43 W · 57 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1417062.9%107 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed California-San Diego Tritons25c131.84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.331,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fbe…993abacked California-San Diego Tritons24c113.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.616154.1%33 W · 28 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked California-San Diego Tritons56c103.49$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.964553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed California-San Diego Tritons22c103.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8818230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4014354.5%78 W · 65 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5caf…cf21backed California-San Diego Tritons17c86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4723…5687backed California-San Diego Tritons24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7bc3…d183backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors71c80$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.21540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-41.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed California-San Diego Tritons25c71.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3336845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71fb…b277backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.79560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa404…3ee0backed California-San Diego Tritons31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-71.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73c4…a92dbacked California-San Diego Tritons29c64.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked California-San Diego Tritons27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.22,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed California-San Diego Tritons55c58.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1522953.7%123 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked California-San Diego Tritons20c54.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.241,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked California-San Diego Tritons23c52.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0619138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked California-San Diego Tritons21c49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4840252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ed…a438backed California-San Diego Tritons28c48.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6217647.2%83 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe09c…f300backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors58c47.33$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.962948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed California-San Diego Tritons39c47.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3225544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors54c39.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.17650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors74c36.03$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3510259.8%61 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7d…f2a7backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors73c32.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.682,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors74c28.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.319653.1%104 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6713956.8%79 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd420…1b6bbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors75c23.64$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4de1…bc60backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors76c21.95$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.191127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-61.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors71c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.864658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.210095%95 W · 5 L+21.3wins+0.21per pick74cpaid+29.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x58e0…be18backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.28664%55 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors75c19.37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.913651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9869…e817backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors80c14.05$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.811957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.