Music · resolved market
Megan Thee Stallion & Klay Thompson split in 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb141ed4d05793b34ee3a65e9c589b98bc31b6bf9ba543307847733619afe34ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 1c | 3,001$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.29per pick | 26cpaid | +157.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…4037backed No | 58c | 695.14$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa654…7041backed No | 58c | 688.05$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…53c3backed No | 58c | 687.92$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ee…5805backed No | 58c | 669.96$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…b82abacked No | 58c | 664.42$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…6d90backed No | 58c | 656.13$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…4be5backed No | 58c | 646.12$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…d909backed No | 58c | 645.37$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef51…ac36backed No | 58c | 640.01$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…a5adbacked No | 58c | 637.38$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 7c | 460.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450a…670dbacked No | 57c | 355.89$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f1…b38abacked No | 59c | 351.91$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…bbb2backed No | 59c | 348.45$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5b…5347backed No | 59c | 346.91$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ba…ddc8backed No | 59c | 346.59$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…416dbacked No | 59c | 346.23$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…a0f5backed No | 57c | 345.54$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…a120backed No | 59c | 344.75$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…c0cdbacked No | 59c | 344.59$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…8788backed No | 57c | 344.08$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a9…835abacked No | 59c | 342.33$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f0…496bbacked No | 59c | 341.53$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9a…6959backed Yes | 41c | 341.43$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7979…ec0cbacked No | 57c | 339.68$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…7c02backed No | 59c | 339.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d92…60f3backed No | 59c | 338.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…ec58backed No | 59c | 337.81$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b08…fe82backed No | 58c | 337.2$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…a81bbacked No | 57c | 337.16$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ab…b916backed No | 57c | 336.87$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…e85abacked No | 59c | 336.39$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…09e2backed No | 57c | 336.24$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…9679backed No | 59c | 335.48$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4080…7922backed No | 57c | 335.04$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…ad48backed Yes | 41c | 334.94$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7992…3ef2backed Yes | 41c | 334.84$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d3…acb8backed No | 59c | 334.03$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb6…34bbbacked No | 57c | 333.86$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3490…70fabacked No | 59c | 333.69$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c73…cc40backed No | 58c | 333.33$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…94dcbacked No | 59c | 333.26$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e6…718dbacked No | 57c | 332.95$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…1c56backed No | 58c | 332.91$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…828fbacked No | 59c | 332.7$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba3d…c93dbacked No | 58c | 332.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…87a1backed No | 59c | 332.38$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b38…4599backed No | 59c | 332.35$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3030…0059backed No | 59c | 331.95$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51c…a5aabacked No | 58c | 331.86$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9062…3447backed No | 59c | 331.78$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…73c6backed Yes | 41c | 331.66$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…5720backed No | 59c | 331.4$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x724f…d366backed No | 59c | 331.38$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ea…aea2backed No | 59c | 331.23$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf0…497fbacked No | 57c | 331.15$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a12…114ebacked Yes | 41c | 331.15$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1587…373dbacked Yes | 41c | 331.07$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e21…2dd9backed No | 59c | 331.06$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1291…a235backed No | 59c | 330.94$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…9333backed No | 59c | 330.78$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…76e7backed No | 59c | 330.65$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3f…67f9backed No | 58c | 330.11$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ab…660bbacked Yes | 41c | 329.95$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…8d69backed No | 59c | 329.87$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f24…1cf0backed No | 57c | 329.87$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc782…82b4backed No | 59c | 329.87$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…ffefbacked No | 59c | 329.86$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x513b…31fcbacked No | 59c | 329.46$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545f…c3f7backed No | 58c | 329.3$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe69…0a6dbacked No | 59c | 328.9$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6201…e4dabacked No | 58c | 328.52$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929b…0571backed No | 59c | 328.45$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…6facbacked Yes | 41c | 328.35$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…be62backed No | 58c | 328.14$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…d690backed Yes | 41c | 328.09$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe870…087abacked No | 58c | 327.87$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74b…688cbacked No | 57c | 327.84$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c20…811fbacked No | 59c | 327.7$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c66…e0e6backed No | 59c | 327.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x301a…c2a0backed Yes | 41c | 327.39$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be8…cd7abacked No | 59c | 327.15$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…f8e6backed No | 59c | 326.53$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa2…9211backed No | 59c | 326.15$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2efe…9bdabacked No | 59c | 326.04$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5c…82c8backed No | 59c | 325.42$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52bb…7e87backed No | 57c | 325.09$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1d…fb77backed No | 59c | 324.78$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2d…2c96backed No | 59c | 324.66$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…abc6backed No | 59c | 323.68$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d1…d085backed No | 59c | 322.88$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0597…0784backed No | 59c | 322.38$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…9249backed No | 57c | 322.3$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…4cbabacked No | 57c | 321.75$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…a2acbacked No | 57c | 319.66$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f98…14d1backed No | 57c | 318.36$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e90…e429backed No | 57c | 315.85$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…076cbacked No | 57c | 314.24$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…0da1backed No | 59c | 313.95$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.