Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8fc710ea7edb1a3724622617aa0f1df8b60bd0c38c940fee377c001d4e85544
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfca3…93eabacked No | 1c | 69,965$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.72 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -70%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x690d…e464backed No | 0c | 4,856$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd13f…4906backed No | 1c | 4,400$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 71c | 725.28$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.82 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 22c | 691.05$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.08 | 468 | 24.4%114 W · 354 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 68c | 523.18$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.5 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 7c | 434.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 346 | 17.9%62 W · 284 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…159fbacked No | 21c | 397.29$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.13 | 203 | 42.9%87 W · 116 L | +20.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 34c | 386.92$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.41 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80a…c714backed Yes | 36c | 357.26$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.42 | 1,977 | 18.8%371 W · 1,606 L | +8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1c67backed Yes | 55c | 349.57$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.65 | 98 | 77.6%76 W · 22 L | +16.3wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…3255backed Yes | 60c | 288.01$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.83 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 64c | 228.51$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.94 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 37c | 207.09$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.36 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 21c | 206.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 39c | 206.02$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.68 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…839abacked Yes | 43c | 177.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 281 | 19.9%56 W · 225 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 36c | 177.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 45c | 163.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…b492backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 561 | 18.4%103 W · 458 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 68c | 145.16$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 63c | 144.28$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.55 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 67c | 134.16$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 50c | 131.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…996bbacked Yes | 75c | 130.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 65 | 78.5%51 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…56ecbacked Yes | 36c | 129.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 301 | 41.2%124 W · 177 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…7651backed Yes | 40c | 116.64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b0…298fbacked Yes | 35c | 112.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.56 | 146 | 26%38 W · 108 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b5…47bfbacked No | 62c | 105.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.83 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 105.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 34c | 101.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…3d17backed Yes | 80c | 99.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 57c | 98.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…2420backed Yes | 37c | 98.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Yes | 39c | 98.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 236 | 33.1%78 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 68c | 89.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…6087backed Yes | 77c | 89.34$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 71cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 60c | 88.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 636 | 56.1%357 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 35c | 82.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…ade1backed Yes | 37c | 81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 283 | 29.3%83 W · 200 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…e526backed Yes | 30c | 78.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 51c | 76.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…98dfbacked Yes | 33c | 75.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 65c | 74.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f1…847fbacked No | 44c | 73.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Yes | 39c | 71.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Yes | 40c | 70.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 409 | 35%143 W · 266 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…9ebbbacked No | 58c | 68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1b…4f09backed Yes | 34c | 64.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 35c | 63.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cf…9a91backed Yes | 79c | 63.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd271…37e0backed Yes | 36c | 60.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 310 | 29.7%92 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 44c | 60.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…1116backed No | 65c | 58.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…3bf4backed No | 62c | 56.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 55.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbe…4d88backed No | 23c | 52.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…b745backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 275 | 40%110 W · 165 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 31c | 48.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 39c | 48.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…9f33backed No | 67c | 48.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 351 | 68.4%240 W · 111 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…19c2backed No | 60c | 48.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 57c | 47.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5d…1726backed Yes | 47c | 47.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce1…c33abacked No | 67c | 46.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 149 | 61.1%91 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf074…2fd0backed Yes | 57c | 46.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…da69backed No | 63c | 46.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…fc4abacked No | 61c | 46.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17bd…9a07backed Yes | 36c | 44.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 46c | 43.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3e…8258backed Yes | 34c | 42.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 33c | 40.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 33c | 40.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…bb28backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 38c | 35.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce6…77d1backed Yes | 32c | 34.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed Yes | 46c | 34.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Yes | 35c | 34.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 36c | 31.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed No | 65c | 31.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 30.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb198…6291backed Yes | 35c | 29.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 37c | 29.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb81…7b82backed No | 69c | 28.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…8f6cbacked No | 60c | 25.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x318b…d827backed No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…68a1backed No | 68c | 21.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 64c | 18.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 72c | 18.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed No | 71c | 18.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 296 | 53.4%158 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 63c | 17.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11e…1b2dbacked No | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d52…c5aabacked No | 65c | 15.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…137ebacked No | 66c | 15.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 136 | 63.2%86 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.