Serie A · resolved market
Will Udinese win on 2025-10-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cadf1c0f6e3cf4b3ff32f8566f158abcca1d507f94ce167e9c7dce6c1a39a11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 13c | 6,948$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.71 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 11c | 3,050$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.5 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 11c | 1,110$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.52 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 11c | 999$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 12c | 837.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 11c | 815.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.73 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 6c | 588.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2704…b9aebacked Yes | 12c | 497.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes | 13c | 492.31$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 11c | 446.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 24c | 335$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Yes | 12c | 266.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 8c | 212.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 12c | 168.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 12c | 154.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 149.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4491…27e5backed Yes | 13c | 146.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Yes | 15c | 136.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 12c | 135$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…6784backed Yes | 14c | 129.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0a…5dc0backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…606ebacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd98b…58debacked Yes | 12c | 84.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Udinese win on 2025-10-29?this page
- Will Juventus vs. Udinese end in a draw?No won
- Will Juventus win on 2025-10-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.