Serie A · resolved market
Will Juventus vs. Udinese end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed51c482e58317378e4c32ef29c39a3eced66f0356417cd6fc2ae7b1dc1fdf86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 78c | 728.62$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.7 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 703$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.53 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 79c | 539.89$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.79 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 80c | 378.52$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 22c | 334.55$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…3eeabacked Yes | 22c | 297.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 21c | 279$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 20c | 261.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 17c | 250.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 28c | 225$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…9159backed No | 80c | 192$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85f…1d1dbacked Yes | 22c | 192$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 22c | 154.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 21c | 99.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…d958backed No | 79c | 41.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 78c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 39.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 78c | 24.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ea…2eddbacked No | 79c | 15.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus vs. Udinese end in a draw?this page
- Will Juventus win on 2025-10-29?Yes won
- Will Udinese win on 2025-10-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.