South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x168dbcae4001e84898f45fba10ecd728f6ddaefb1c3eb2750c2616f42a142394
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed No | 63c | 10,061$6,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,730.03 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 37c | 8,168$3,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.29 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 23c | 1,761$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 1,658$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.75 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed No | 59c | 1,642$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.28 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 37c | 1,293$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.91 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked No | 69c | 1,175$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.34 | 16 | 100%16 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9c…c8cfbacked No | 76c | 1,170$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 1,030$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.46 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 337.02$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.26 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 73c | 311.29$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.48 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 38c | 278.95$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 28c | 276.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 30c | 264$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 154 | 24%37 W · 117 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa6…e56cbacked No | 51c | 234$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 38c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 37c | 175$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…606ebacked Yes | 42c | 161$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 61c | 130$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Yes | 24c | 125.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 121.82$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 95.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 35c | 95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 34c | 86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 23c | 84.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 68 | 14.7%10 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 80.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 37c | 75.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 28c | 72.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 79c | 68.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 60c | 65.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…3561backed Yes | 36c | 63.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 68c | 62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 61.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 25c | 60.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 52.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…19e4backed Yes | 30c | 50.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 37c | 50.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 77c | 47.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 32c | 40.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 76c | 28.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 77c | 22.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will CA Aldosivi vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.