MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb998f34207f098105cf68f24ddbffeedf646da55fafdb490b63215be17cae53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Philadelphia Phillies, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,771 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 2,367$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.93 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 1,684$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.47 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 1,582$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.27 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 1,467$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.89 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 1,278$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.23 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Detroit Tigers | 60c | 1,083$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.41 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 1,051$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.69 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 999.82$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.93 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 649.11$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 608.99$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.85 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 427$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.63 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 409.68$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.55 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 399.07$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.3 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 295$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.08 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 258.69$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.92 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 243$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 215.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 214.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 200$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca4…51cebacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 193.67$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 169.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 160$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 149.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 141.51$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 122.56$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 109.92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 108.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 100.78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 100.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 98.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 90.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 64.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Detroit Tigers | 60c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 53.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 51.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 49c | 48.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2606…61b9backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…72f5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 29.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x290e…4db4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab00…b447backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c4…2f58backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 19.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edd…3ae8backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Detroit Tigers | 73c | 18.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Detroit Tigers | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.