MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe733d9a1c571ab514d2d79857c97810462e3de8f99a172bc16ac2905ebaf2aad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,721 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x610b…d55dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 1,668$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 1,355$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.52 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 1,273$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.71 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…b1fbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 1,235$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3b…bea0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 1,147$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3a…a68cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 1,127$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…0721backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 1,111$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…b768backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 1,049$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa242…e339backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 999$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf832…22c3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 955$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 943.49$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.22 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…8229backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 941$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 906$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.38 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 739.18$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.97 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…cc21backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 727$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 726$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.29 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ac…6b00backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 721$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b9…65a5backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 700$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1d…4ad2backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…679bbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 635$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 615.56$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…49c1backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 600$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e85…7085backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 549$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264d…13fdbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81e…962abacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…a7b9backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e3…67c6backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 499$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 466.35$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.82 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046d…fb68backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 455$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c0…f3d5backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 447$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589b…f41cbacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 427$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 426$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.12 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…8a9abacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 390$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 269.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.69 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 257.85$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.62 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 251.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.52 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 219.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.63 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 200.52$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Detroit Tigers | 39c | 191.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.65 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 179.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 160$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Detroit Tigers | 49c | 113.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Detroit Tigers | 41c | 104.03$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 93.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…e36ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 79.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 72.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 66.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 66.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Detroit Tigers | 42c | 66.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 63.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 60.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 57.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 53.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d9e6backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 52.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Detroit Tigers | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Detroit Tigers | 36c | 44.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Detroit Tigers | 61c | 35.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 35.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…5831backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 29.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 28.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 27.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…dd4fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 22.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Detroit Tigers | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.