MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x416ead11726e714ad55132a8a0b9fc8f0663c43b409e90b2b46085a57bf707a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof New York Yankees, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,515 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees | 29c | 7,544$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.38 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers | 68c | 7,492$5,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.39 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed New York Yankees | 1c | 2,325$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 1,890$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.3 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 1,655$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.89 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked New York Yankees | 44c | 1,462$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.45 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 1,453$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.79 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 1,419$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.8 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 45c | 1,067$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.9 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 640.21$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.98 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed New York Yankees | 44c | 640$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.9 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 591$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.59 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked New York Yankees | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 388.22$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.61 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 312.18$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees | 44c | 266.75$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.44 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed New York Yankees | 47c | 259.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.15 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Detroit Tigers | 63c | 245.02$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed New York Yankees | 42c | 236.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…3898backed New York Yankees | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed New York Yankees | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed New York Yankees | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 167.66$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed New York Yankees | 46c | 165$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 149.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 118.15$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 106.54$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed New York Yankees | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed New York Yankees | 42c | 87.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 86.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 85.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed New York Yankees | 37c | 81.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed New York Yankees | 45c | 80.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Detroit Tigers | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…79afbacked New York Yankees | 43c | 76.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Detroit Tigers | 72c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed New York Yankees | 46c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed New York Yankees | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 330 | 51.8%171 W · 159 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 58.24$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed New York Yankees | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked New York Yankees | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed New York Yankees | 44c | 48.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed New York Yankees | 44c | 47.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed New York Yankees | 44c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked New York Yankees | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New York Yankees | 41c | 42.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 40.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…9ce7backed New York Yankees | 40c | 37.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed New York Yankees | 31c | 36.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 36.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed New York Yankees | 40c | 32.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 29.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 28.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4342…5797backed New York Yankees | 48c | 26.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Detroit Tigers | 67c | 17.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -12.1wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.