TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Utahof Golden Knights, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,547

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,547 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Utah69c3,246$2,240 inWon+$1,006.3789355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Golden Knights31c3,109$964 inLost-$963.8191945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Golden Knights32c423.53$136 inLost-$135.5391653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Golden Knights35c407.14$142 inLost-$142.518344.8%82 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Utah65c397.14$258 inWon+$1392,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Utah66c318.22$210 inWon+$108.191,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16de…4b46backed Utah68c235$160 inWon+$75.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Golden Knights34c210$71 inLost-$71.2525337.9%96 W · 157 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb142…2239backed Utah68c208$141 inWon+$66.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Golden Knights32c201.17$64 inLost-$64.3851550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Golden Knights34c138.63$47 inLost-$47.1312335%43 W · 80 L-12.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x60d4…b875backed Golden Knights32c130$42 inLost-$41.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…d6f4backed Golden Knights32c125$40 inLost-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Utah68c117.65$80 inWon+$37.6581157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Golden Knights34c105.02$36 inLost-$35.7114037.9%53 W · 87 L-13.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Golden Knights34c105.01$36 inLost-$35.712844.5%57 W · 71 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Utah66c105$69 inWon+$35.711435.1%40 W · 74 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d4…2872backed Golden Knights32c103$33 inLost-$32.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011b…fcc3backed Utah68c102.94$70 inWon+$32.9417759.9%106 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Golden Knights25c102.11$25 inLost-$25.52,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Utah68c100$68 inWon+$3221560.9%131 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8579…ba8ebacked Golden Knights32c85$27 inLost-$27.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Golden Knights34c80$27 inLost-$27.250251.2%257 W · 245 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Utah68c75$51 inWon+$2454260.3%327 W · 215 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Golden Knights34c64$22 inLost-$21.7686852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Utah71c61.24$44 inWon+$17.591,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Utah68c57.35$39 inWon+$18.3540162.1%249 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1898…99eebacked Golden Knights33c43.96$15 inLost-$14.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Golden Knights34c36$12 inLost-$12.2436648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Utah69c31$21 inWon+$9.6123063%145 W · 85 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Utah68c30.88$21 inWon+$9.8869061.6%425 W · 265 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50fd…ee77backed Utah70c28.71$20 inWon+$8.7122763.4%144 W · 83 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Utah66c27.56$18 inWon+$9.3716955.6%94 W · 75 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Utah69c23.19$16 inWon+$7.1933660.7%204 W · 132 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07c9…9f5bbacked Utah67c20.81$14 inWon+$6.8136561.9%226 W · 139 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d2d…395ebacked Utah67c16.42$11 inWon+$5.42683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+67.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Utah70c16.23$11 inWon+$4.8733363.7%212 W · 121 L+44.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Utah69c15$10 inWon+$4.656758.2%39 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.