Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-10-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x403b69eddb5e21967e3d68e22161e19cd447d46d34af4413760b2652a338e557
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 1,997$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.04 | 5,655 | 42%2,376 W · 3,279 L | +75.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 806$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.6 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 28c | 658.29$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.88 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…de68backed Yes | 21c | 608.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 21c | 569.58$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.53 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…0661backed Yes | 22c | 568.18$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…6a3ebacked Yes | 65c | 445.72$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe797…2b36backed Yes | 21c | 179.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed No | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +143.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf845…810ebacked Yes | 80c | 143.66$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 79c | 95.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 23c | 85.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc1…02e7backed No | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…05f5backed Yes | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 21c | 65.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e4…f323backed Yes | 80c | 60.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 56cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 21c | 60.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Yes | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…9910backed No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked No | 25c | 40.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +299.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 78c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 68c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x580b…5461backed No | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-10-04?this page
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-10-04?No won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.